Title Crop yield estimation using multispectral satellite imagery and machine learning
Translation of Title Derliaus prognozavimas naudojant multispektrinius palydovinius vaizdus ir mašininį mokymąsi.
Authors Kaedbey, Jad
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Pages 58
Keywords [eng] crop yield estimation ; multispectral satellite imagery ; machine learning ; Sentinel-2 ; vegetation indices
Abstract [eng] This Master's thesis outlines the design and implementation of an automated system for estimating crop yields on a large scale using Sentinel-2 satellite imagery and machine learning. The research focuses on integrating time-series multispectral data with ground-truth statistics from the US Department of Agriculture's National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS). A diverse suite of vegetation indices (including NDVI, EVI and NDRE) was calculated and combined with historical meteorological data to develop a comprehensive feature set that captures the complex dynamics of crop growth. The study compares the performance of tree-based ensemble models (specifically XGBoost and Random Forest) with that of experimental deep learning architectures, such as Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. The results show that, when enhanced with engineered weather features, tree-based models provide robust and scalable yield predictions at county level, offering a viable alternative to traditional reporting methods in precision agriculture.
Dissertation Institution Kauno technologijos universitetas.
Type Master thesis
Language English
Publication date 2026