| Title |
The forecast of the wind turbine generated power using hybrid (LTC + XGBoost) model |
| Authors |
Krevnevičiūtė, Justina ; Mitkevičius, Arnas ; Naujokaitis, Darius ; Lagzdinytė-Budnikė, Ingrida ; Marčiukaitis, Mantas |
| DOI |
10.3390/app15137615 |
| Full Text |
|
| Is Part of |
Applied sciences.. Basel : MDPI. 2025, vol. 15, iss. 13, art. no. 7615, p. 1-29.. ISSN 2076-3417 |
| Keywords [eng] |
wind power prediction ; hybrid model ; XGBoost ; LTC |
| Abstract [eng] |
This publication presents a novel approach to predicting the amount of electricity generated by wind power plants. The research focuses on data-driven models such as XGBoost, Liquid Time-constant Networks, and covers both the analysis of properties of individual forecasting models as well as aspects of their integration into a hybrid model. By analyzing real-world weather scenarios, the approach aims to identify the highest accuracy forecasting model for the short-term 24-h forecast of wind farm power output. A more accurate forecast allows for more efficient resource planning and better distribution of resources on the electricity grids, thus ensuring a greener approach to energy production. The study shows that the proposed Hybrid (XGBoost + LTC) model predicts wind power generation with an nMAE of 0.0856, representing an improvement over standalone XGBoost and LTC models, and outperforming classical approaches such as LSTM and statistical models like ARIMAX in terms of forecasting accuracy. |
| Published |
Basel : MDPI |
| Type |
Journal article |
| Language |
English |
| Publication date |
2025 |
| CC license |
|
