Title |
Paukščių migravimo analizė / |
Translation of Title |
Bird migration analysis. |
Authors |
Staniulis, Rokas |
Full Text |
|
Pages |
50 |
Keywords [eng] |
time ; series ; regression |
Abstract [eng] |
In this work we will analyse how air conditions affects birds migration intensity. We will analyse hourly data which was collected from year 2009 to 2013. Data was colected in Ventes ragas birds ringing station. This station is in the coast of Lithuania. In one data set we have numbers which show how many birds was captured in particular hour. I other data set we can see what air conditions was in that time in that particular place. In this work we will connect those two data sets into one and then analise it by various methods. Using that data set we will try to forecast mird migration intensity. Firstly we will check if we should create different forecasting models for different months in the year. Then we will create forecasting model using regression analysis methods. After tahat we will try to forecast bird migration analysis with time series analysis methods. After creation of these two models we will calculate error of both models. When we compare those errors we will know which model is better. |
Dissertation Institution |
Kauno technologijos universitetas. |
Type |
Master thesis |
Language |
Lithuanian |
Publication date |
2017 |