| Abstract [eng] |
Currently, logistics is perceived as a practical business tool, enabling companies to achieve strategic, tactical and operational objectives in an integrated and rational and cost of goods and services, addressing the quality of material resources, transportation, transformation and service needs of the user's tasks. Supply chain - part of the logistics associated with trade, commodity movements. Logistics system - the closed part of the supply chain, describing the relationship between the chain of factors. At work we analyse concrete industrials company logistic system, and its projected costs of financial flows. To forecast number are using trends with seasonal decompositions, curve of Regression, Moving Average method, Simple Exponential smoothing method, Autoregressive model and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model and sezonal ARIMA model. |
