Title NII forecasting model for local Baltic banks IRRBB management /
Authors Žigienė, Gerda ; Valukonis, Mantas
DOI 10.3846/bm.2022.844
ISBN 9786094762888
eISBN 9786094762895
Full Text Download
Is Part of 12th International scientific conference “Business and management 2022”, May 12–13, 2022, Vilnius, Lithuania.. Vilnius : Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 2022. art. no. bm.2022.844, p. 457-465.. ISSN 2029-4441. eISSN 2029-929X. ISBN 9786094762888. eISBN 9786094762895
Keywords [eng] interest rate risk in the banking book ; banking supervision ; unconditional cash flow ; net interest income
Abstract [eng] This paper contributes to the existent literature and the current discussions on regulatory changes towards bank exposure to interest rate risk in the banking book (IRRBB) aiming to provide the model on the computation of earning based gap analysis under unconditional cash flow for the European Bank Authority’s (EBA’s) category 4 banks (i. e. small non-complex domestic financial institutions). The problem, discussed in this paper, arises because the Final Standards issued by the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision do not determine the level of sophistication of the IRRBB measurement techniques. There are different explanations of consultants, some surveys, and recommendations, but no suggestions on the particular modeling towards regulation in IRRBB have been found. Another issue addressed here is the uneven capacity of creating risk assessment models of large international and small domestic financial insti- tutions due to the difference in human resources. We first discuss recent changes of regulation on interest rates in the banking book and the background of these changes. We then develop a methodology of the model for assessment of earning-based gap analysis under unconditional cash flows for the 4th category of banks (small, local banks). In addi- tion, the model with one of the Baltic domestic commercial bank’s simulated data is tested.
Published Vilnius : Vilnius Gediminas Technical University, 2022
Type Conference paper
Language English
Publication date 2022
CC license CC license description